In Nyakatonzi, the valley dams have been empty since around March 2026. They were dug five years ago and were meant to be the insurance policy. Instead the Basongora herders have watched close to 300 cattle die, and are selling what survives at whatever price the market gives, because a weak cow fetches something and a dead one fetches nothing. “Our animals are dying because there is neither pasture nor water,” Ham Natuhwera told reporters this month. “Every day we lose more cattle, and those still alive are extremely weak.”
It has been a hard year for the whole country. The government warned in May that June to August would be dry, and it was drier and longer than expected. Gardens failed at germination in several districts, and food prices have climbed accordingly.
In Kasese the shortage has been unusually stubborn. In Busongora North in areas like Rugendabara, Kitswamba, Kabatunda-Kirabaho and Bwesumbu, water coverage sits at about 35 per cent, against a district average above 65. Ponds and shallow wells have gone. Women and girls are walking further each day for water, and some households have given up and taken what they could find. Health centres are reporting more typhoid in children as a direct result.
And now the rain is coming.
The Uganda National Meteorological Authority expects near-normal to above-normal rainfall from September through December, with warmer-than-average temperatures. Steady rains from mid to late September, peaking from the end of October through November, and possibly running into early January.
For most of Uganda that is relief. For Kasese it is also a warning, and we should say so plainly. Ground baked hard for six months does not drink, it sheds. And this district has a record. Nyamwamba burst its banks in May 2013 and killed four people sheltering in a shop. It came again in 2014, and through 2016 to 2020, taking the Kyanjuki-Bulembia bridge and flooding Kilembe Mines hospital badly enough that it had to move. In 2020 around a hundred homes were left uninhabitable. In 2023 the makeshift bridge went and people were crossing on foot. The causes are not mysterious: a silted riverbed, gardens and houses pressed right up to the bank, and slopes stripped of the cover that once slowed the water down. These are just few of the records that have happened here before.

What should households do now, before mid-October
- Clear your drainage this month, not when it starts. Trenches, culverts and gutters around the home. Areas close to the river banks of Nyamwamba, Nyamugasani, Mubuku, Lhubiriha among others.
- Agree an evacuation point on high ground as a family, and a route to it. Decide it now, calmly, not at 2am in the dark.
- Pack one bag you can carry: documents, torch, a little food and water, any medicine someone in the house depends on.
- Do not plant or rebuild on the riverbank. Leave Nyamwamba, Mubuku and Nyamugasani room. The river will take it back.
- Move animals off low ground early. Do not wait to see the water.
- Harvest the rain. Tanks, gutters, jerrycans. The water that floods you in November is the water you did not have in August.
- Keep treating your drinking water. Typhoid rises in the flood as surely as it rose in the drought.
- Check on your neighbors — the elderly, pregnant women, people with disabilities. They move slowest.
What GEDA has been doing about it
None of this is new to us. Through Livelihood Improvement and Climate Change Response through Restoration of Degraded Landscapes, supported by Expertise France, we have been putting soil and water conservation measures across at least 15 hectares in Kasese Municipality, the trenches and cover that slow runoff, hold soil and keep silt out of the rivers in the first place.
With Kasese Municipality, under the Covenant of Mayors in Sub-Saharan Africa, we planted a one-acre model plantation on the bare hills of Nyakabingo, trained trainers in forestry and wetland management, and helped municipal staff build the mapping skills behind the Urban Forestry Management Plan 2023–2032.
We work with women on efficient cooking stoves, heat-retention baskets and briquettes and above all sensitization of communities — because every tree not cut for firewood is a tree still holding a slope together. And after the May 2020 floods, we carried out the needs assessment and got support to women and girls living in the camps.
A dry riverbed and a flooded one are the same problem wearing different clothes. The work that would have softened this drought is the same work that will soften the coming rain.
Let’s be on alert and watch as the rains start.



















